admin2 发表于 2008-10-26 13:54:52

恆生指數歷次股災數據及大市分析 _ 20081026 , 最後更新20090719

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<P><FONT color=blue size=4><STRONG>&nbsp;恆生指數歷次股災數據及大市分析</STRONG></FONT> </P>
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admin2 发表于 2008-10-26 13:56:06

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<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: silver" color=darkred size=5><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><STRONG>歷次股災 - 恆生指數高低位、 PE 市盈率及 DIV 息率</STRONG></SPAN></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"></SPAN></SPAN></FONT></FONT>&nbsp;</P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">1)<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<FONT color=blue><STRONG> </STRONG></FONT></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial" lang=EN-US><FONT color=blue><STRONG>1994 – 1995 </STRONG></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT color=blue><STRONG>股災</STRONG></FONT><SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>恆生指數由<SPAN lang=EN-US> 12599 </SPAN>下跌至<SPAN lang=EN-US> 6890 , </SPAN>下跌了<SPAN lang=EN-US> 5709</SPAN>點<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN><FONT color=darkred><STRONG>跌幅<SPAN lang=EN-US>45.31% , </SPAN>歷時<SPAN lang=EN-US> 13</SPAN>個月</STRONG></FONT>。 據恆指服務公司資料<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>當時 <STRONG><FONT color=green>市盈率<SPAN lang=EN-US> (PE) 11.71</SPAN>倍<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>息率<SPAN lang=EN-US> 3.79%</SPAN></FONT></STRONG>。&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>
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<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">2)<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial" lang=EN-US><FONT color=blue><STRONG>1997 – 1998 </STRONG></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT color=blue><STRONG>股災</STRONG></FONT><SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>恆生指數由<SPAN lang=EN-US> 16820 </SPAN>下跌至<SPAN lang=EN-US> 6545 , </SPAN>下跌了<SPAN lang=EN-US> 10275</SPAN>點<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN><FONT color=darkred><STRONG>跌幅<SPAN lang=EN-US>61.09% , </SPAN>歷時<SPAN lang=EN-US> 13</SPAN>個月</STRONG></FONT>。 據恆指服務公司資料<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>當時 <STRONG><FONT color=green>市盈率<SPAN lang=EN-US> (PE) 8.09</SPAN>倍<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>息率<SPAN lang=EN-US> 5.35%</SPAN></FONT></STRONG>。</SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial" lang=EN-US><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p><FONT color=#000000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">3)<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial" lang=EN-US><FONT color=blue><STRONG>2000 – 2003 </STRONG></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT color=blue><STRONG>股災</STRONG></FONT><SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>恆生指數由<SPAN lang=EN-US> 18397 </SPAN>下跌至<SPAN lang=EN-US> 8331 , </SPAN>下跌了<SPAN lang=EN-US> 10066</SPAN>點<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN><FONT color=darkred><STRONG>跌幅<SPAN lang=EN-US> 54.72% , </SPAN>歷時<SPAN lang=EN-US> 37</SPAN>個月</STRONG></FONT>。 據恆指服務公司資料<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>當時 <FONT color=darkgreen><STRONG>市盈率<SPAN lang=EN-US> (PE) 13.18</SPAN>倍<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>息率<SPAN lang=EN-US> 4.42%</SPAN></STRONG></FONT>。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial" lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT color=#000000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">4)<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<FONT color=blue><STRONG> </STRONG></FONT></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT color=blue><STRONG>今次股災由<SPAN lang=EN-US> 2007</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US> 10</SPAN>月份開始下跌</STRONG></FONT><SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>恆生指數 (由 31958下跌至 12618 (24/10/2007止計) , 下跌了 19340點 , <FONT color=darkred><STRONG>跌幅 60.51% , 只用了一年時間 ,</STRONG> </FONT>跌勢快且急 , 是近幾次股災之最。 究竟大市底部在那裡呢? 事前係無人知架!唔好相信自己有估頂估底的能力 , 否則越堅持己見越唔肯止蝕越輸得惨。 如果人不是有好勝心 , 成日想估市 , 成日想撈底;只要老老實實跟住幅圖去出入市 , 己經在高位沽了貨 , 現在仍未有入貨訊號呢! (見下圖)</SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>
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<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"></SPAN></FONT></FONT>&nbsp;</P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"></SPAN></FONT></FONT>&nbsp;</P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT color=green size=5><STRONG>後記:買股票當然是希望市盈率<SPAN lang=EN-US> (PE)&nbsp;愈低愈好</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US> , 股</SPAN>息率愈高愈好 la!</STRONG></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=green size=5><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><STRONG>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 根據恆生指數服務公司資料 , 原來 1974年12月 ( 距今34年 ) , 當時大市跌了九成 , </STRONG></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=green size=5><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><STRONG>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 果個月的 PE 是 7.09倍 , 息率 8.94厘。</STRONG></SPAN></FONT></P>
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NOVOICE 发表于 2008-10-26 16:38:50

老師:
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<br>曾聽到有長輩說今趟百年一遇的環球金融海嘯只有1973年的香港大股災才可以比擬…
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<br>P.S. 下列恆生指數是從網上搜集回來,只供參考(或有漏誤):
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<br>HSI Date \ DAY_HIGH \ DAY_LOW             100% x [(DAY_LOW / DAY_HIGH) - 1]
<br>----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
<br>09/3/1973&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 1774.96&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 10/12/1974&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 150.11&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -91.54%
<br>17/7/1981&nbsp;&nbsp; 1810.2         &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 02/12/1982 &nbsp;&nbsp; 676.3          &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -62.64%
<br>01/10/1987&nbsp; 3949.73      &nbsp;&nbsp; 07/12/1987&nbsp; 1876.18      &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; -52.50%
<br>15/5/1989 &nbsp;&nbsp; 3309.6      &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 05/6/1989 &nbsp;&nbsp; 2093.6      &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -36.74%
<br>23/7/1990 &nbsp;&nbsp; 3559         &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 26/9/1990 &nbsp;&nbsp; 2732         &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -23.24%
<br>12/11/1992&nbsp; 6470         &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 03/12/1992&nbsp; 4947         &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -23.54%
<br>04/1/1994&nbsp; 12599         &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 23/1/1995 &nbsp;&nbsp; 6890         &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -45.31%
<br>07/8/1997&nbsp; 16820.31    &nbsp;&nbsp; 13/8/1998&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 6544.79    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; -61.09%
<br>28/3/2000&nbsp; 18397.57    &nbsp;&nbsp; 25/4/2003&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 8331.87    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; -54.71%
<br>30/10/2007 31958.41    &nbsp; ???<br><br>

[ 本帖最后由 NOVOICE 于 2008-10-26 16:42 编辑 ]

admin2 发表于 2008-10-26 21:23:02

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<BR /><P>THANKS &nbsp;NOVOIVE&nbsp; <IMG alt="" src="http://www.bp-system.com/discuz/images/smilies/default/handshake.gif" border=0 smilieid="17"> </P>

admin2 发表于 2008-10-26 21:28:25

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<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">又同大家分享一下</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> , </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">如果我哋真係唔撈底</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> , </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">在上述幾次股災中</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> , </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">「最佳拍檔」系統究竟會於恆生指數盤底後彈上幾多點才會發出買入訊號呢?</SPAN><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT><STRONG><FONT color=purple><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">究竟係撈底著數些或等正式發出買入訊號才買貨會著數</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> d </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">呢?</SPAN></FONT></STRONG></FONT></FONT><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P><BR>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">就讓我們用圖表來比較一下</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> la</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">!</SPAN></FONT></FONT></P><BR>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p><FONT color=#000000 size=4 face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">1)<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial" lang=EN-US>1994 – 1995 </SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">股災<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>恆生指數由<SPAN lang=EN-US> 12599 </SPAN>下跌至<SPAN lang=EN-US> 6890 , </SPAN>下跌了<SPAN lang=EN-US> 5709</SPAN>點<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>跌幅<SPAN lang=EN-US>45.31% , </SPAN>歷時<SPAN lang=EN-US> 13</SPAN>個月。 據恆指服務公司資料<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>當時市盈率<SPAN lang=EN-US> (PE) 11.71</SPAN>倍<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>息率<SPAN lang=EN-US> 3.79%</SPAN>。<FONT color=darkred> <STRONG>隨後於<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="27" Month="1" Year="1995"><SPAN lang=EN-US>1995</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>27</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>於<SPAN lang=EN-US> 6890</SPAN>點盤了一個底<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>系統於<st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="17" Month="3" Year="2008"><SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>17</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>於<SPAN lang=EN-US> 8563</SPAN>點發出買入訊號<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>成功盤底至發出買入訊號共彈升了<SPAN lang=EN-US> 1673</SPAN>點<SPAN lang=EN-US> , 24.28%</SPAN>。之後<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>恆指逐級升至<SPAN lang=EN-US> 16820</SPAN>點。</STRONG></FONT></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P><BR>
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admin2 发表于 2008-10-26 21:31:45

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<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">2)<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial" lang=EN-US>1997 – 1998</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">年股災<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>恆生指數由<SPAN lang=EN-US> 16820 </SPAN>下跌至<SPAN lang=EN-US> 6545 , </SPAN>下跌了<SPAN lang=EN-US> 10275</SPAN>點<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>跌幅<SPAN lang=EN-US>61.09% , </SPAN>歷時<SPAN lang=EN-US> 13</SPAN>個月。 據恆指服務公司資料<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>當時市盈率<SPAN lang=EN-US> (PE) 8.09</SPAN>倍<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>息率<SPAN lang=EN-US> 5.35%</SPAN>。 <FONT color=darkred><STRONG>隨後於<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="13" Month="8" Year="1998"><SPAN lang=EN-US>1998</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>8</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>13</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>於<SPAN lang=EN-US> 6545</SPAN>點盤了一個底<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>系統於<st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="9" Month="10" Year="2008"><SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>於<SPAN lang=EN-US> 8527</SPAN>點發出買入訊號<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>成功盤底至發出買入訊號共彈升了<SPAN lang=EN-US> 1982</SPAN>點<SPAN lang=EN-US> , 30%</SPAN>。 之後<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>恆指逐級升至<SPAN lang=EN-US> 18397</SPAN>點。</STRONG></FONT></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P><BR>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT color=darkred><STRONG></STRONG></FONT></SPAN></FONT></FONT>&nbsp;</P><BR>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT color=darkred><STRONG><SPAN lang=EN-US><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></STRONG></FONT></SPAN></FONT></FONT>&nbsp;</P>

admin2 发表于 2008-10-26 21:33:49

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<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">3)<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial" lang=EN-US>2000 – 2003 </SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">股災<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>恆生指數由<SPAN lang=EN-US> 18397 </SPAN>下跌至<SPAN lang=EN-US> 8331 , </SPAN>下跌了<SPAN lang=EN-US> 10066</SPAN>點<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>跌幅<SPAN lang=EN-US> 54.72% , </SPAN>歷時<SPAN lang=EN-US> 37</SPAN>個月。 據恆指服務公司資料<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>當時市盈率<SPAN lang=EN-US> (PE) 13.18</SPAN>倍<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>息率<SPAN lang=EN-US> 4.42%</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp;<STRONG><FONT color=darkred> &nbsp;</FONT></STRONG></SPAN></SPAN><STRONG><FONT color=darkred>隨後於<SPAN lang=EN-US> ffice:smarttags" /&gt;<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="25" Month="4" Year="2003">2003<SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN lang=EN-US>年4</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN lang=EN-US>月25</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN lang=EN-US>日</SPAN></SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN lang=EN-US>於 8331</SPAN></SPAN>點盤了一個底<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>系統於<st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="29" Month="5" Year="2008"><SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>29</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>於<SPAN lang=EN-US> 9587</SPAN>點發出買入訊號<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>成功盤底至發出買入訊號共彈升了<SPAN lang=EN-US> 1256</SPAN>點<SPAN lang=EN-US> , 15%</SPAN>。 之後<SPAN lang=EN-US> , </SPAN>恆指逐級升至<SPAN lang=EN-US> 31958</SPAN>點。</FONT></STRONG></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT color=#8b0000 size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><STRONG></STRONG></SPAN></FONT></FONT>&nbsp;</P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT color=#000000><FONT color=#8b0000 size=4><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"></SPAN></FONT></FONT>&nbsp;</P>

admin2 发表于 2008-10-26 21:43:02

<P><FONT color=#000000><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</P><BR>
<P><FONT size=4><FONT color=green><STRONG><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">咁真係撈底</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"> , <FONT face=新細明體>或等「最佳拍檔」</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">發出買入訊號才入市呢???</SPAN></STRONG></FONT></FONT></P><BR>
<P><FONT color=green size=4><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><STRONG></STRONG></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</P><BR>
<P><FONT color=green size=4><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><STRONG>自决喇! 上面都寫咗咁多資料比你地嗱! 慢慢看 , 慢慢思考下自己的資金的分配!</STRONG></SPAN></FONT></P>

admin2 发表于 2008-10-26 21:47:14

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<P><FONT size=4>待 續 ......</FONT></P><BR>
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<P><FONT size=4>繼續寫近期的市況</FONT></P>

admin2 发表于 2008-10-26 23:19:40

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<P>&nbsp; <FONT color=purple size=4>「最佳拍檔」有個即市聊天室 , 我記得在 21/10&nbsp; - 22/10 那兩天當大市仍未向下跌穿 14329 時 , 己不斷在聊天室提大家。可惜亦可能你地有部份人看圖的經驗尚淺 , 所以不懂得 3 浪的厲害 ....................</FONT></P><BR>
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<P><FONT color=purple size=4>算嗱! 前事不忘 , 後事之師 。 依家 post 返幅圖及 chatroom 內容比大家睇! 深刻記憶 , 對以後操盤反應有極大幫助!</FONT></P><BR>
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